Will an "April surprise" in Iraq jolt oil prices down in 1992? Referring to earlier strategically timed developments in an election year, some analysts expect a spring push by the Bush administration to directly support an Iraqi uprising to oust Saddam Hussein, citing survival of Saddam's leadership as a continuing thorn in the side of Bush's reelection chances. Saddam's departure would pave the way for a significant resumption of Iraqi oil exports into an oversupplied market, the

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