U.S. ethylene demand to rise 2.9%/year
Demand for ethylene will jump to 63 billion lb / year by 2005-- a 2.9 % compound average growth--compared with 49 billion lb / year in 1996.
As demand rises to almost 62 billion lb / year in 2000, ethylene plant capacity utilization will fall to 86%, compared with 89% today, says Chem Systems. Plant utilization however, will rebound to 94% in 2003 as demand peaks and begins to fall.
Chem Systems compared expected demand growth for several petrochemicals with predicted growth in gross domestic product (GDP) during 1996-2005. The predictions, expressed as a ratio of demand growth to GDP growth, included: ethylene 1.25, propylene 1.60, butadiene 0.60, benzene 0.80 polyethylene 1.50, polyvinyl chloride 0.80, and styrene 0.80.
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