Murphy Oil expects Eagle Ford production to climb thanks to new-well productivity

Executives at Murphy Oil say offshore oil and gas exploration activity is likely to get a slightly larger share of capital in 2026.
Nov. 7, 2025
4 min read

Key Highlights

  • Murphy Oil brought online 17 new wells in the Eagle Ford during the quarter, with three being best performers, boosting production beyond expectations.
  • Drilling costs have decreased by 8%, allowing Murphy to drill more wells with less capital, and the company expects to maintain or increase onshore output in 2026 while reducing capex.
  • The company plans offshore exploration in Vietnam and Côte d'Ivoire, with new wells scheduled in the Gulf of Mexico, emphasizing a long-term growth despite short-term market challenges.
  • Murphy posted a net loss of $8 million on total revenues of $733 million partly due to asset impairments.

Strong performance from new wells in the Eagle Ford and Tupper Montney basins helped Murphy Oil Corp., Houston, beat third-quarter production expectations and executives think they can maintain or improve onshore output in 2026 while spending less capital.

Murphy teams brought online a total of 17 wells in the Eagle Ford during the third quarter. President and chief executive officer Eric Hambly told analysts Nov. 6 three of those have been the company’s best-ever performers, putting up numbers 50% and more better than the company’s historical average. Combined with the 34 wells brought online during the second quarter, the new wells comprised more than half of Eagle Ford production of 35,000 b/d of oil and 49,000 boe/d total during the third quarter.

In a letter to investors, Hambly said the wells added to Murphy’s portfolio during the quarter have an average break-even oil price of $36/bbl, with some coming in at $22/bbl. Helping drive those numbers is that drilling costs per foot are down 8% from 2024. That is letting Murphy drill six more Eagle Ford wells than planned this quarter.

Speaking on a conference call with investors, Hambly said Eagle Ford production this year should come in around 37,000 b/d, versus the company’s guidance of 30,000-35,000 b/d in recent years. And he’s confident that, despite seeing production declines roughly in line with typical shale wells, Murphy can pull back on capex next year and maintain its Eagle Ford output.

“We think that the repeatability of our strong well performance of our new investments will be there,” he said. “We think it will take a little bit less capital to deliver the same or higher kind of performance from our onshore assets.”

Murphy executives have this year allotted 30% of the $1.2-billion capex budget to US  onshore operations and about 12% to the operator's Canadian onshore assets. For 2026, those shares are likely to dip even as the total pool of dollars stays roughly the same, Hambly said. Murphy will spend a bit more on opportunities offshore Vietnam and Côte d'Ivoire.

The company plans to spud one well offshore Côte d'Ivoire this quarter and follow that up with two more in 2026. In the Gulf of Mexico—the company’s second-largest asset by production, with more than 62,000 boe/d in the third quarter—teams have finished workovers and plan to spud two wells this quarter in the Mississippi Canyon.

Hambly said a significant drop in commodity prices would lead the team to rein in some onshore capex but added that the offshore appraisal programs in Vietnam and Côte d'Ivoire “are likely to be a little more sticky” because of their long-term potential.

“I think you could see us doing those in most cases,” he said. “You would have to probably have a very, very low oil price where we decide to alter those plans.”

In the third quarter, Murphy posted a net loss of about $8 million on total revenues of $733 million. The loss was due primarily to the booking of a $115 million impairment charge on its operated Dalmatian asset in the Gulf of Mexico, where the company had planned to drill two more wells but decided that operating costs would be too high. Adjusted EBITDA was essentially flat from third-quarter 2024 at $391 million.

Total production for the quarter was 200,000 boe/d (132,000 b/d of that from onshore operations) and executives expect that number will drop to about 180,000 boe/d.

Shares of Murphy (Ticker: MUR) rose 5% Nov. 5 on executives’ earnings report and outlook and were up another 1% to $28.34 in late-morning trading the following day. They have surged more than 30% over the past 6 months and the company’s market capitalization now stands at about $4 billion.

About the Author

Geert De Lombaerde

Senior Editor

A native of Belgium, Geert De Lombaerde has more than two decades of business journalism experience and writes about markets and economic trends for Endeavor Business Media publications Healthcare Innovation, IndustryWeek, FleetOwner, Oil & Gas Journal and T&D World. With a degree in journalism from the University of Missouri, he began his reporting career at the Business Courier in Cincinnati and later was managing editor and editor of the Nashville Business Journal. Most recently, he oversaw the online and print products of the Nashville Post and reported primarily on Middle Tennessee’s finance sector as well as many of its publicly traded companies.

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