MARKET WATCH International energy prices dip in profit taking

Feb. 17, 2004
Profit taking from the recent rally brought down energy futures prices early Tuesday on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange.

By OGJ editors

HOUSTON, Feb. 17 -- Profit taking from the recent rally brought down energy futures prices early Tuesday on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange.

Cash-flush international investment funds were seen entering the market, signaling a strong price trend in coming months, analysts said.

Energy prices
In London, the March contract for North Sea Brent oil fell by 25¢ to $30.32/bbl Monday on the International Petroleum Exchange. Gas oil for March delivery was down by 75¢ to $258.75/tonne. However, the March natural gas contract inched up by 1.9¢ to the equivalent of $4.16/Mcf on IPE.

The New York Mercantile Exchange was closed Monday for Presidents' Day, a US holiday. However, on the US spot market West Texas Intermediate at Cushing, Okla., gained 51¢ to $34.44/bbl Monday.

The average price for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries' basket of seven benchmark crudes dipped by 2¢ to $29.72 Monday.

Weather outlook
Forecasters are predicting more seasonal temperatures in the Northeast US this week after a long cold weekend. The Chicago area also is expected to warm to seasonal temperatures or slightly above.

"Despite unexpectedly large inventory draws over the last 3 weeks, ample [US underground natural gas] storage levels should temper buying" on the natural gas futures market, said analysts Tuesday at Enerfax Daily. "Weekly declines of 75 bcf [from storage] are need in the remaining 8 weeks of the withdrawal season for inventories to drop to about 1 tcf by April."

US gas storage now is slightly above 1.6 tcf, up by 232 bcf from year ago levels but 38 bcf below the 5-year average for this time of year, they said.