OGJ Newsletter

Market MovementOil prices on the upswingOil prices are surging again, so the market focus again has fallen on how well OPEC will micromanage oil supply to sustain its unofficial $25/bbl target price.That was brought to light with oil prices rising by more than $1.50 shortly after a comment late last month by Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi that OPEC is unlikely to increase production at the group's ministerial meeting in June.As UBS Warburg put it, "The surprise, perhaps, is that such a comment would surprise the market."The stock overhang already in place and likely to exist by early June makes it unlikely that there will be a strong enough price signal for OPEC to raise quotas. And ...

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