Kyoto accords

April 30, 2001
The single point of agreement between both sides of the Kyoto accords seems to be that, at best, their implementation could reduce the anticipated global warming.

Kyoto accords

The single point of agreement between both sides of the Kyoto accords seems to be that, at best, their implementation could reduce the anticipated global warming (2° C., 5° C., or whatever it will actually turn out to be) by a more than modest 0.2° C.

Now, no expert will swear in a court of law that the average global temperature can be measured to this accuracy or that the 0.2° C. Kyoto "effect" could be confidently detected against the 2 to 5° C. projected temperature rise.

Also, the predicted 0.2° C. Kyoto "effect" is 100-years ahead of the global weather forecast, which implies an accuracy of 0.1° C. or better and cannot possibly be right, seeing how shaky 1 day (let alone 5 days) forecasts are today.

Finally, Time magazine published on Apr. 9, a preposterous letter to President Bush to the effect that nothing is more important than global warming-presumably not even nuclear war, overpopulation, degradation of arable soil, or epidemics. Anyway, the ten petitioners are not geoscientists, only a bunch of notorious people who attempt to impose their views even though no one has established that fame automatically confers intelligence or learning upon its recipients.

Jamil Azad
Petroleum Geologist