OGJ Newsletter

Market MovementOPEC's gamble with marketsIs OPEC playing "chicken" again with oil markets? Some of the price hawks in the organization-Venezuela seeming to be the chief hawk, a 180° turnabout from just a few years ago-are talking up prospects for yet another production cut at the March ministerial meeting in Vienna.The fundamentals of the market right now indicate that, while oil prices have moderated since early December, there is little likelihood now of a complete collapse in oil prices that would warrant another sizeable OPEC cut. Nevertheless, some in OPEC see a decline in its marker basket of crude prices below $25/bbl as a green light for another cut.By the end of the first...

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