World oil supply-what goes up must come down, but when will it peak?

J.H. Laherrere Petroleum Consultant Paris The universe is made up of cycles. Everything that is born will die: stars, days, species, humans, and civilizations. A stone thrown into the air follows a parabolic trajectory. If its velocity is more than 11 km/sec it will leave the gravitational field of the earth but will become part of the solar system, returning on an elliptic orbit. What goes up must come down. The question is: when will it peak? King Hubbert, in his famous paper of 1956,1 predicted that U.S. oil production (from the Lower 48) would peak in the 1970s at the top of a bell-curve. The area of the curve represented the total endowment of oil, which he estima...

Why Register?

Non-subscribers can only view whitepapers by providing name, home and email address, phone number and other information and comment on/rate articles.

Why Subscribe?

Oil & Gas Journal subscribers with login credentials can access these premium features of OGJ Online:

  • Current Issue – an html version of the current week's issue of Oil & Gas Journal.
  • Past Issues – An Electronic OGJ Archive. A keyword-searchable archive of all issues of Oil & Gas Journal dating back to 1990; also searchable by issue date.
  • Market Journal – a weekly round-up of the oil and gas markets, with observations from leading analysts.
  • Editor's Perspective – a short article of insight and opinion by the Editor of Oil & Gas Journal.
  • OGJ Industry Stats – quick access to current industry statistics from Oil & Gas Journal.
  • OGJ Survey Downloads - quick access to exclusive reports from Oil & Gas Journal.


Subscriber Help or Subscribe

Oil & Gas Journal Subscribers: Have your subscription number (from the mailing label on the cover of your Oil & Gas Journal) and e-mail address ready to set up your online account through Customer Service Assistant.

If you're not an Oil & Gas Journal subscriber, start a subscription and gain access to the subscriber areas of OGJ Online now.

Stay Connected