Analysis suggests economic viability of trans-Caspian Sea gas line

The trans-Caspian natural gas pipeline is commercially viable and would bring positive returns to Turkmenistan under most scenarios analyzed by the Energy Institute at the University of Houston. Click here to enlarge imageThis conclusion holds even if Turkey is the sole buyer of Turkmen gas (Fig. 1).Clearly, the project has risks, and some scenarios can make the project no longer viable or Turkmenistan may no longer receive positive returns. Turkmenistan's participation in the pipeline consortium may be required not only to share these risks with other partners but also to increase the country's returns via a stake in pipeline revenues, which appear to be larger than production rev...

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