FGE: US gas price sensitive to LNG exports

09/02/2013
The future price of natural gas in the US depends greatly on development of LNG exports, the outlook for which remains unclear, says Facts Global Energy (FGE). In an analysis comparing its projections for LNG exports with a base-case production forecast by the Energy Information Administration's Annual Energy Outlook (AEO), FGE sees problems. FGE's LNG export expectations are much greater than EIA's: 40 million tonnes/year in 2020 and almost 80 million tpy in 2025, assuming full utilization of capacity, vs. 5.5 million tpy in 2020 and almost 30 million tpy in 2030 in the AEO reference case. Expected pipeline exports to Mexico plus LNG exports at FGE's projected rates would absorb all incr...
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