Navigating uncertainty

Many executives likely have pondered how they would have done things differently if they could have foreseen the emergence of US shale gas developments and especially if they could have envisioned that scenario years before their competitors. Bain & Co. Inc. consultants devised a broad model to help senior management teams compare multiple, plausible future supply and demand scenarios in what Bain calls a period of unprecedented uncertainty for the oil and gas industry. Uncertainty stems from supply shocks of recent years in crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, much of which is attributed to spiraling US unconventional production, two Bain partners told reporters during a ...

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