OGJ Newsletter

Market MovementStage is set for another Russia-OPEC standoffThe stage is being set for another standoff between Russia and OPEC over production cuts. A bigger question might be whether any potential market share war will come before US military action against Iraq this year. That will determine the extent of a price collapse, if one occurs this year.The loss of Iraqi oil supplies in the months to come seems increasingly likely. At the same time, the stars are aligning for excess market supplies in the second quarter. The upshot may very well be an oil price that both producers and consumers can live with while the global economy slowly recovers this year. The downside, of course, is worse...

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