Who believes what about energy prices, terrorism warnings?

Preparing for terrorist attack is like forecasting oil and gas prices. Receptivity of the audience is as important as the message.Politicians scrounging for poll points are second-guessing Bush administration handling of early intelligence hints about the suicide attacks last Sept. 11 in New York and Washington, DC.They're even using scandal rhetoric, asking, "Who knew what, and when did they know it?"Wrong question.Government intelligence agencies mass-produce warnings. Most are vague extrapolations from scattered observations of the activities of potentially hostile groups and individuals. Responding to each warning would be impossible, even foolish.Except for the rare surprise, it&...

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