Steady growth seen for Canadian bitumen output despite increasing needs for pipeline capacity, gas

Under especially favorable conditions of economics, politics, and technology, production of bitumen from the Canadian oil sands can reach 3.9 million b/d in 2020 and peak at 6.8 million b/d in 2038 before receding to 6.2 million b/d by 2045. More likely production rates, in the reference-case scenario of a study published in March by the Canadian Energy Research Institute, are 3.3 million b/d by 2020 and 5.4 million b/d by 2045 (Fig. 1). For perspective, the 2045 bitumen projection in the reference case is slightly below last year's average production of crude oil and lease condensate by the US, the 2011 output rate of which ranked third among all producing countries (OGJ, Dec. 5, 2011, ...

Why Register?

Non-subscribers can only view whitepapers by providing name, home and email address, phone number and other information and comment on/rate articles.

Why Subscribe?

Oil & Gas Journal subscribers with login credentials can access these premium features of OGJ Online:

  • Current Issue – an html version of the current week's issue of Oil & Gas Journal.
  • Past Issues – An Electronic OGJ Archive. A keyword-searchable archive of all issues of Oil & Gas Journal dating back to 1990; also searchable by issue date.
  • Market Journal – a weekly round-up of the oil and gas markets, with observations from leading analysts.
  • Editor's Perspective – a short article of insight and opinion by the Editor of Oil & Gas Journal.
  • OGJ Industry Stats – quick access to current industry statistics from Oil & Gas Journal.
  • OGJ Survey Downloads - quick access to exclusive reports from Oil & Gas Journal.


Subscriber Help or Subscribe

Oil & Gas Journal Subscribers: Have your subscription number (from the mailing label on the cover of your Oil & Gas Journal) and e-mail address ready to set up your online account through Customer Service Assistant.

If you're not an Oil & Gas Journal subscriber, start a subscription and gain access to the subscriber areas of OGJ Online now.

Stay Connected