EIA: Fuel economy standards to cut gasoline use through 2040

More-stringent vehicle fuel economy standards will contribute to a decline in gasoline consumption through 2040, the US Energy Information Administration projected in the reference case in its Annual Energy Outlook 2014.

A primary cause of the decrease will be standards that, based on National Highway Transportation Safety Administration (NHTSA) estimates, will require new light-duty vehicles to average 49 mpg in vehicle model year 2025, compared with their current compliance estimate of about 33 mpg in model year 2012.

The reference case also projects an increase in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) that, all else equal, would increase fuel consumption. However, higher fuel efficiency standards would more than offset this increase to result in an overall decline in gasoline consumption.

In contrast to the projected decline in gasoline use, a large increase in heavy-duty VMT will lead to an increase in consumption of diesel fuel, even as heavy-duty vehicle fuel economy increases in response to EPA fuel efficiency and greenhouse gas emission standards. New refinery projects are expected to focus on shifting production from gasoline to distillate fuels to meet growing domestic and global demand for diesel.

In addition to meeting US demand, refineries will continue to export finished products internationally throughout the projection. The US became a net exporter of finished products in 2011, and net product exports will expand in the reference case through 2040.

EIA notes that its projections for gasoline and diesel use in the reference case reflect current laws and policies, including fuel efficiency standards that have already been issued as final rules; and that further efficiency standards and changes in travel behavior are essential uncertainties that could result in future fuel use being different from the reference case projections.

Related Articles

Market watch: Energy futures prices rose slightly Friday

05/06/2002 Crude oil futures prices rose slightly Friday amid lingering uncertainty about a possible disruption of Middle East supplies, although tensions in ...

Gulf of Mexico oil service sector showing signs of an upturn

05/06/2002 The Gulf of Mexico oil service sector is experiencing the signs of an upturn, analysts with Simmons & Co. International, UBS Warburg LLC, and RBC D...

OTC: Industry, national agencies need to work together to make FPSOs work in the gulf

05/06/2002 Over the coming years, the oil and gas industry will have to keep an open line of communication with national agencies such as the US Coast Guard a...

Market watch: Energy futures prices fall as Iraq lifts embargo

05/07/2002 Crude oil futures prices fell Monday after Iraq announced plans to lift a self-imposed export embargo with exports expected to resume by Wednesday.

Careers at TOTAL

Careers at TOTAL - Videos

More than 600 job openings are now online, watch videos and learn more!


Click Here to Watch

Other Oil & Gas Industry Jobs

Search More Job Listings >>
Stay Connected