EIA: Short-term global oil supplies face uncertainties

Global consumption of petroleum and other liquids will rise an average of 1.3 million b/d in 2014 and 1.4 million b/d in 2015, exceeding 93 billion b/d by second-half 2015, according to the most recent Short-Term Energy Outlook released by the US Energy Information Administration. EIA said global consumption of petroleum and other liquids rose by 1.2 million b/d in 2013, exceeding 91 million b/d by the year’s second half.

Major uncertainties surround its 2014-15 global oil supply outlook, however. These include lingering unplanned global supply disruptions and unknown US oil production growth, which is attributable to upward US onshore supply risk due to drilling technological innovations and downward production risk in the federal Gulf of Mexico because of potential project delays and hurricane or maintenance outages.

Kazakhstan’s Kashagan oil field and North Sea maintenance will also contribute to short-term global supply fluctuations.

EIA estimates US total crude oil production averaged 7.4 million b/d in 2013, and will increase to 8.4 million b/d in 2014 and to 9.2 million b/d in 2015. The US crude oil production forecast for both 2014 and 2015 was revised downward slightly—by 100,000 b/d—from last month’s STEO because of indications that severe weather this winter caused temporary slowdown in completing new wells.

Regarding petroleum prices, EIA notes that Brent crude oil spot prices in January averaged $108-112/bbl for the seventh consecutive month. As non-OPEC supply growth exceeds growth in world consumption, the Brent crude oil price is expected to average $105/bbl and $101/bbl in 2014 and 2015, respectively. EIA expects that West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices will average $93/bbl in 2014 and $90/bbl in 2015.

Related Articles

Jewell names Maryland energy administrator BOEM’s new director

12/18/2014 US Interior Sec. Sally Jewell appointed Abigail Ross Hopper, who currently directs the Maryland Energy Administration, as the new director of the U...

Marathon cuts 2015 budget amid ‘current price environment’

12/18/2014 Marathon Oil Corp. expects to spend $4.3-4.5 billion in its capital, investment, and exploration budget for 2015. That total represents a 20% decli...

Russia’s Turkey pipeline deal possibly may keep door to Europe ajar

12/18/2014 Russia’s memorandum of understanding to build a natural gas pipeline to Turkey after canceling its South Stream project could help keep the door op...

Patel appointed as LyondellBasell’s chief executive officer

12/18/2014 LyondellBasell has chosen Bhavesh V. Patel to serve as its chief executive officer effective Jan. 12, 2015. He succeeds James L. Gallogly, who...

Moody’s: Mid-term elections dim federal fracing regulation prospects

12/18/2014 Results of 2014’s congressional elections have reduced the prospect of the federal government enacting its own hydraulic fracturing regulations, Mo...

Apache awarded Western Australia offshore permit

12/18/2014 A day after reporting its planned divestment of Western Australian and Canadian assets to Woodside Petroleum Ltd., Apache Corp. has been awarded a ...

MEG Energy cuts capital spending for 2015 to $305 million (Can.) from $1.2 billion

12/18/2014

MEG Energy Corp., Calgary, is reducing its 2015 capital spending plans to $305 million (Can.) from the original budget of $1.2 billion.

Thirty-one House Democrats ask Jewell to bar leasing in Arctic Ocean

12/18/2014 US Rep. Jared Huffman (D-Calif.) and 30 other House Democrats urged US Interior Sec. Sally Jewell to reject the second supplemental environmental i...

Obama makes Alaska’s Bristol Bay off-limits for oil, gas activity

12/17/2014 US President Barack Obama placed Bristol Bay off-limits for future oil and gas leasing, extending a temporary withdrawal he imposed in 2010 that wa...

White Papers

AVEVA NET Accesses and Manages the Digital Asset

Global demand for new process plants, power plants and infrastructure is increasing steadily with the ...
Sponsored by

AVEVA’s Approach for the Digital Asset

To meet the requirements for leaner project execution and more efficient operations while transferring...
Sponsored by

Diversification - the technology aspects

In tough times, businesses seek to diversify into adjacent markets or to apply their skills and resour...
Sponsored by

Engineering & Design for Lean Construction

Modern marketing rhetoric claims that, in order to cut out expensive costs and reduce risks during the...
Sponsored by

Object Lessons - Why control of engineering design at the object level is essential for efficient project execution

Whatever the task, there is usually only one way to do it right and many more to do it wrong. In the c...
Sponsored by

Plant Design for Lean Construction - at your fingertips

One area which can provide improvements to the adoption of Lean principles is the application of mobil...
Sponsored by

How to Keep Your Mud System Vibrator Hose from Getting Hammered to Death

To prevent the vibrating hoses on your oilfield mud circulation systems from failing, you must examine...
Sponsored by

Duty of Care

Good corporate social responsibility means implementing effective workplace health and safety measures...
Sponsored by

Available Webcasts


On Demand

Optimizing your asset management practices to mitigate the effects of a down market

Thu, Dec 11, 2014

The oil and gas market is in constant flux, and as the price of BOE (Barrel of Oil Equivalent) goes down it is increasingly important to optimize your asset management strategy to stay afloat.  Attend this webinar to learn how developing a solid asset management plan can help your company mitigate costs in any market.

register:WEBCAST


Parylene Conformal Coatings for the Oil & Gas Industry

Thu, Nov 20, 2014

In this concise 30-minute webinar, participants have an opportunity to learn more about how Parylene coatings are applied, their features, and the value they add to devices and components.

register:WEBCAST


Utilizing Predictive Analytics to Optimize Productivity in Oil & Gas Operations

Tue, Nov 18, 2014

Join IBM on Tuesday, November 18 @ 1pm CST to explore how Predictive Analytics can help your organization maximize productivity, operational performance & associated processes to drive enterprise wide productivity and profitability.

register:WEBCAST


US HYDROCARBON EXPORTS Part 3 — LNG

Fri, Nov 14, 2014

US LNG Exports, the third in a trilogy of webcasts focusing on the broad topic of US Hydrocarbon Exports.

A discussion of the problems and potential for the export of US-produced liquefied natural gas.

These and other topics will be discussed, with the latest thoughts on U.S. LNG export policy.

register:WEBCAST


Careers at TOTAL

Careers at TOTAL - Videos

More than 600 job openings are now online, watch videos and learn more!

 

Click Here to Watch

Other Oil & Gas Industry Jobs

Search More Job Listings >>
Stay Connected