EIA reduces near-term WTI estimate in latest forecast

The US Energy Information Administration lowered its projected average price for West Texas Intermediate crude oil during 2012’s final 3 months to $89/bbl in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook. The estimate was about $4/bbl less than the one in its October STEO, it noted.

EIA said that it expects WTI prices to remain near that level—at $88/bbl—in 2013. Its average Brent crude price projections remained unchanged month-to-month in the Nov. 6 report at $112/bbl for 2012 and $103/bbl in 2013.

The drop in the US benchmark crude’s average price was reflected in regular gasoline prices, which fell from $3.85/gal nationwide in September to $3.75/gal in October as the domestic gasoline market shifted from summertime grades to less expensive winter blends, according to the latest STEO.

“However, outages caused by Hurricane Sandy and low gasoline and distillate stocks on the East Coast could put upward pressure on prices in this region,” it warned. It projected that US regular gasoline retail prices would average $3.64/gal in 2012 and $3.44/gal in 2013.

EIA said that it expects total US crude production to average 6.3 million b/d in 2012, 700,000 b/d higher than 2011’s average, and increase to 6.8 million b/d in 2013, which would be the highest domestic production level since 1993.

Working natural gas inventories are at a record high level, it indicated. As of Oct. 26, they totaled 3,908 bcf, 56 bcf greater than the previous record peak of 3,852 bcf on Nov. 18, 2011, EIA said. It expects the Henry Hub natural gas spot price, which averaged $4/MMbtu in 2011, to average $2.77/MMbtu in 2012 and $3.49/MMbtu in 2013.

Contact Nick Snow at nicks@pennwell.com.

Related Articles

BP Energy Outlook projects energy demand to jump 37% by 2035

02/17/2015 Global demand for energy is expected to rise by 37% from 2013 to 2035, or by an average of 1.4%/year, due in large part to ongoing economic expansi...

Devon reduces capital budget by 20% in 2015

02/17/2015 Devon Energy Corp., Oklahoma City, plans an exploration and production capital budget of $4.1-4.4 billion in 2015, representing a 20% decline compa...

Ohio Supreme Court rules against municipality in oil and gas case

02/17/2015 The Ohio Supreme Court ruled that the city of Munroe Falls cannot impose local drilling and zoning ordinances that conflict with Ohio state law reg...

Uganda taps Russian firm to build country’s first refinery

02/17/2015 The government of Uganda has selected a consortium led by Russia’s RT Global Resources, Moscow, as its first choice to construct the country’s firs...

Montana governor wants PHMSA to beef up pipeline enforcement in state

02/17/2015 Citing a Jan. 17 leak of 1,200 bbl of crude oil from a ruptured pipeline in eastern Montana, Gov. Steve Bullock (D) asked US Sec. of Transportation...

Derailed West Virginia oil train carried Bakken crude

02/17/2015

A large-scale cleanup and investigation have launched following the Feb. 16 derailment of a CSX crude oil train near Mount Carbon, W.Va.

MARKET WATCH: Brent crude oil reaches above $62/bbl

02/17/2015 The April ICE contract for Brent crude oil prices rose modestly in London to settle above $62/bbl on Feb. 16 while the New York Mercantile Exchange...

Phillips 66 Partners to buy pipeline systems’ interests for $1 billion

02/16/2015 Phillips 66 Partners LP has reached agreement with Phillips 66 to acquire Phillips 66’s interests in three pipeline systems for a total of $1.01 bi...

Bear Head LNG exempted from 2012 Canadian environmental act

02/16/2015 Liquefied Natural Gas Ltd.’s wholly owned subsidiary Bear Head LNG Corp. received notice from the Canadian Environment Assessment Agency (CEAA) tha...
White Papers

AVEVA’s Digital Asset Approach - Defining a new era of collaboration in capital projects and asset operations

There is constant, intensive change in the capital projects and asset life cycle management. New chall...
Sponsored by

Transforming the Oil and Gas Industry with EPPM

With budgets in the billions, timelines spanning years, and life cycles extending over decades, oil an...
Sponsored by

Asset Decommissioning in Oil & Gas: Transforming Business

Asset intensive organizations like Oil and Gas have their own industry specific challenges when it com...
Sponsored by

Squeezing the Green: How to Cut Petroleum Downstream Costs and Optimize Processing Efficiencies with Enterprise Project Portfolio Management Solutions

As the downstream petroleum industry grapples with change in every sector and at every level, includin...
Sponsored by

7 Steps to Improve Oil & Gas Asset Decommissioning

Global competition and volatile markets are creating a challenging business climate for project based ...
Sponsored by

The impact of aging infrastructure in process manufacturing industries

Process manufacturing companies in the oil and gas, utilities, chemicals and natural resource industri...
Sponsored by

What is System Level Thermo-Fluid Analysis?

This paper will explain some of the fundamentals of System Level Thermo-Fluid Analysis and demonstrate...

Accurate Thermo-Fluid Simulation in Real Time Environments

The crux of any task undertaken in System Level Thermo-Fluid Analysis is striking a balance between ti...
Available Webcasts


Prevention, Detection and Mitigation of pipeline leaks in the modern world

When Thu, Apr 30, 2015

Preventing, detecting and mitigating leaks or commodity releases from pipelines are a top priority for all pipeline companies. This presentation will look at various aspects related to preventing, detecting and mitigating pipeline commodity releases from a generic and conceptual point of view, while at the same time look at the variety of offerings available from Schneider Electric to meet some of the requirements associated with pipeline integrity management. 

register:WEBCAST



On Demand

Global LNG: Adjusting to New Realities

Fri, Mar 20, 2015

Oil & Gas Journal’s March 20, 2015, webcast will look at how global LNG trade will be affected over the next 12-24 months by falling crude oil prices and changing patterns and pressures of demand. Will US LNG production play a role in balancing markets? Or will it add to a growing global oversupply of LNG for markets remote from easier natural gas supply? Will new buyers with marginal credit, smaller requirements, or great need for flexibility begin to look attractive to suppliers? How will high-cost, mega-projects in Australia respond to new construction cost trends?

register:WEBCAST


US Midstream at a Crossroads

Fri, Mar 6, 2015

Oil & Gas Journal’s Mar. 6, 2015, webcast will focus on US midstream companies at an inflection point in their development in response to more than 6 years shale oil and gas production growth. Major infrastructure—gas plants, gathering systems, and takeaway pipelines—have been built. Major fractionation hubs have expanded. Given the radically changed pricing environment since mid-2014, where do processors go from here? What is the fate of large projects caught in mid-development? How to producers and processors cooperate to ensure a sustainable and profitable future? This event will serve to set the discussion table for the annual GPA Convention in San Antonio, Apr. 13-16, 2015.

This event is sponsored by Leidos Engineering.

register:WEBCAST


The Future of US Refining

Fri, Feb 6, 2015

Oil & Gas Journal’s Feb. 6, 2015, webcast will focus on the future of US refining as various forces this year conspire to pull the industry in different directions. Lower oil prices generally reduce feedstock costs, but they have also lowered refiners’ returns, as 2015 begins with refined products priced at lows not seen in years. If lower per-barrel crude prices dampen production of lighter crudes among shale plays, what will happen to refiners’ plans to export more barrels of lighter crudes? And as always, refiners will be affected by government regulations, particularly those that suppress demand, increase costs, or limit access to markets or supply.

register:WEBCAST


Emerson Micro Motion Videos

Careers at TOTAL

Careers at TOTAL - Videos

More than 600 job openings are now online, watch videos and learn more!

 

Click Here to Watch

Other Oil & Gas Industry Jobs

Search More Job Listings >>
Stay Connected