Global LPG supply growth responding to high crude prices

Despite nagging uncertainties among global economies—not the least being the ongoing monetary crisis in Europe—rising oil and gas demand is pushing LPG production higher.

Shale-based oil and gas developments in North America are proceeding rapidly and pushing up ethane and propane supply. Successes in unconventional plays in North America are increasing interest in new oil, gas, and NGL sources around the world.

Several new NGL-based petrochemical projects are under development in North America in response to growth prospects in liquids production.

At the same time, high LPG prices, which track high crude oil prices, are exerting worrisome downward pressure on some important LPG demand sectors, especially residential-commercial.

These are some of the major observations presented by IHS Purvin & Gertz’s Ken Otto on the first day of the firm’s annual International LPG Seminar in The Woodlands, north of Houston.

LPG supply growth

By far the most important ingredient in these trends, said Otto, is the large and growing discrepancy between world crude oil prices and natural gas prices, mainly in the highly liquid gas markets of North America.

Otto noted that crude oil prices in early 2012 hovered around $105/bbl, while Henry Hub (US) gas prices during the same period had fallen to as low as $2.70/Mcf. As a result, he said, LPG extracted from associated natural gas should rise by nearly 7 million tonnes/year through 2015, or 2.6%/year, as crude oil production rates rise.

LPG production from processing of nonassociated gas represents the most rapid growth and should increase by more than 13 million tpy, or 3.6%/year, by 2015.

Expansions at refineries, traditionally the weakest contributor to LPG supply, will nonetheless push supply by around 8.5 million tpy, or 2.1%/year, through 2015.

Globally, growth in LPG supply in the Middle East is leading the way, Otto said. Through 2015, the region’s supply will grow to about 68 million tpy, or about 25% of total global supply, with nonassociated gas development driving the trend upward.

Contact Warren R. True at warrent@ogjonline.com.

Related Articles

Obama makes Alaska’s Bristol Bay off-limits for oil, gas activity

12/17/2014 US President Barack Obama placed Bristol Bay off-limits for future oil and gas leasing, extending a temporary withdrawal he imposed in 2010 that wa...

Severance tax would backfire, Pennsylvania association leaders warn

12/17/2014 Enacting a severance tax aimed at Pennsylvania’s unconventional natural gas activity would substantially harm the commonwealth beyond the industry ...

New York state moves to ban hydraulic fracturing

12/17/2014 High-volume hydraulic fracturing will be banned in the state of New York, Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s administration announced Dec. 17, citing health risks...

Cooper to buy 50% of offshore Gippsland Sole gas field

12/17/2014 Cooper Energy Ltd., Adelaide, has bought a 50% interest in the offshore Gippsland Sole dry gas field in retention lease Vic/RL3 as well as 50% of t...

MARKET WATCH: Oil prices held steady on NYMEX awaiting crude inventory

12/17/2014 Oil prices held fairly steady on the New York market in Dec. 16 trading while Brent crude oil prices fell by more than $1/bbl on the London market....

BPC report examines 40 possible options to reform RFS

12/16/2014 The Bipartisan Policy Center issued a report outlining 40 possible options for reforming the federal Renewable Fuels Standard in an effort to move ...

Turkish refinery secures Canadian financing

12/16/2014 Export Development Canada (EDC) said it is participating as lead arranger in the $3.3 billion debt-financing consortium supporting STAR Rafineri AS...

Encana to focus spending on four core shale assets in 2015

12/16/2014 Encana Corp., Calgary, reported plans to spend $2.7-2.9 billion on its capital budget with roughly 80% of this total directed towards four of what ...

Cenovus trims budget, slows oil sands work

12/16/2014 Cenovus Energy Inc., Calgary, is trimming its capital spending in response to declining crude oil prices and will slow development of some of its t...

White Papers

AVEVA NET Accesses and Manages the Digital Asset

Global demand for new process plants, power plants and infrastructure is increasing steadily with the ...
Sponsored by

AVEVA’s Approach for the Digital Asset

To meet the requirements for leaner project execution and more efficient operations while transferring...
Sponsored by

Diversification - the technology aspects

In tough times, businesses seek to diversify into adjacent markets or to apply their skills and resour...
Sponsored by

Engineering & Design for Lean Construction

Modern marketing rhetoric claims that, in order to cut out expensive costs and reduce risks during the...
Sponsored by

Object Lessons - Why control of engineering design at the object level is essential for efficient project execution

Whatever the task, there is usually only one way to do it right and many more to do it wrong. In the c...
Sponsored by

Plant Design for Lean Construction - at your fingertips

One area which can provide improvements to the adoption of Lean principles is the application of mobil...
Sponsored by

How to Keep Your Mud System Vibrator Hose from Getting Hammered to Death

To prevent the vibrating hoses on your oilfield mud circulation systems from failing, you must examine...
Sponsored by

Duty of Care

Good corporate social responsibility means implementing effective workplace health and safety measures...
Sponsored by

Available Webcasts


On Demand

Optimizing your asset management practices to mitigate the effects of a down market

Thu, Dec 11, 2014

The oil and gas market is in constant flux, and as the price of BOE (Barrel of Oil Equivalent) goes down it is increasingly important to optimize your asset management strategy to stay afloat.  Attend this webinar to learn how developing a solid asset management plan can help your company mitigate costs in any market.

register:WEBCAST


Parylene Conformal Coatings for the Oil & Gas Industry

Thu, Nov 20, 2014

In this concise 30-minute webinar, participants have an opportunity to learn more about how Parylene coatings are applied, their features, and the value they add to devices and components.

register:WEBCAST


Utilizing Predictive Analytics to Optimize Productivity in Oil & Gas Operations

Tue, Nov 18, 2014

Join IBM on Tuesday, November 18 @ 1pm CST to explore how Predictive Analytics can help your organization maximize productivity, operational performance & associated processes to drive enterprise wide productivity and profitability.

register:WEBCAST


US HYDROCARBON EXPORTS Part 3 — LNG

Fri, Nov 14, 2014

US LNG Exports, the third in a trilogy of webcasts focusing on the broad topic of US Hydrocarbon Exports.

A discussion of the problems and potential for the export of US-produced liquefied natural gas.

These and other topics will be discussed, with the latest thoughts on U.S. LNG export policy.

register:WEBCAST


Careers at TOTAL

Careers at TOTAL - Videos

More than 600 job openings are now online, watch videos and learn more!

 

Click Here to Watch

Other Oil & Gas Industry Jobs

Search More Job Listings >>
Stay Connected