Subsidies seen endangering OPEC prosperity

By OGJ editors
HOUSTON, Oct. 26
-- Member countries of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries are thriving on oil export revenue but, in many cases, eroding their export capacities by subsidizing domestic consumption, warns the Centre for Global Energy Studies, London.

In its Industry Watch report, CGES calculates that OPEC producers have generated almost $5 trillion in oil-export revenue since 1998, a year of unusually low revenue when the average crude price was only $12.30/bbl.

Annual revenue for OPEC members, according to CGES, totaled $103 billion in 1998 and will be about $631 billion this year. The peak was $866 billion in 2008, when crude prices reached unprecedented levels.

The revenue gains resulted from a rapid increase in the price of crude oil over most of the period. Group production during 1998-2010 increased by an average of only 0.6%/year. Export growth was even lower at 0.2%/year.

Rapid growth in domestic consumption has lowered export rates in many OPEC countries. While global oil demand growth averaged 1.2%/year, demand in most OPEC countries increased by more than 3%/year during 1998-2010, CGES says.

Demand in Qatar, Angola, and the UAE increased by more than 5%/year. In Kuwait, the growth rate was 4.7%/year and in Saudi Arabia, 4.5%/year.

“A key reason for such rapid rates of increase in oil demand is the heavy subsidization, via low retail prices, of oil consumption in most of these countries,” CGES says.

The analyst group expects OPEC export revenue to remain near $600 billion/year because of Saudi Arabia’s desire to keep the crude price above $70/bbl and the rising need for OPEC crude as global demand expands and non-OPEC supply reaches a plateau.

But “surging” consumption within the exporters’ group will trim export amounts and add to pressure on members to seek higher oil prices to sustain earnings, CGES warns.

“Unless OPEC’s citizens are weaned off oil subsidies, the organization will hit a barrier beyond which it will not be able to push the price of oil without harming its oil export revenues,” it says. “As things stand today, that barrier is still some way off, but it is out there somewhere, and OPEC should take heed.”

Related Articles

West Cornwall Township hears from Sunoco Logistics

12/12/2014

Sunoco Logistics Partners outlined its safety systems during a West Cornwall Township meeting in Pennsylvania on Nov. 10.

ETP eyes larger capacity for planned Bakken pipe

12/12/2014 Energy Transfer Partners LP has launched a binding expansion open season to boost capacity on a planned pipeline system that would move oil from th...

Kinder Morgan to deliver natural gas to Corpus Christi Liquefaction

12/11/2014 Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) companies Kinder Morgan Texas Pipeline, Kinder Morgan Tejas Pipeline, and Tennessee Gas Pipeline Co. (TGP) have entered in...

Rosneft, Essar sign terms of oil supply agreement

12/11/2014 OAO Rosneft and Essar Energy PLC have signed key terms of an oil supply agreement in New Delhi. Rosneft said shipments to India may begin in 2015.

Barton introduces bill to remove US crude export limits

12/11/2014

US Rep. Joe Barton (R-Tex.) introduced legislation that would remove US crude oil export limits that have been in place for nearly 40 years.

BG agrees to sale of Australian gas pipeline to APA Group

12/10/2014

BG Group PLC agreed to sell its wholly owned subsidiary Queensland Curtis LNG Pipeline Pty. Ltd. (QCLNG) to APA Group for about $5 billion.

More West Texas gathering, processing to come onstream

12/09/2014 EagleClaw Midstream Services LLC, Midland, Tex., has bought natural gas gathering and processing in Reeves County, Tex. The company declined to ide...

Methane controls just part of complete climate strategy, speakers say

12/08/2014 Reducing oil and gas operations’ methane emissions is an essential, but far from the only, part of a comprehensive climate strategy, speakers at a ...

Rail tank car rule could cost economy billions, report says

12/08/2014 The US Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration's (PHMSA) proposed rail tank car rule could cost the US economy as much as $60 billio...

White Papers

AVEVA NET Accesses and Manages the Digital Asset

Global demand for new process plants, power plants and infrastructure is increasing steadily with the ...
Sponsored by

AVEVA’s Approach for the Digital Asset

To meet the requirements for leaner project execution and more efficient operations while transferring...
Sponsored by

Diversification - the technology aspects

In tough times, businesses seek to diversify into adjacent markets or to apply their skills and resour...
Sponsored by

Engineering & Design for Lean Construction

Modern marketing rhetoric claims that, in order to cut out expensive costs and reduce risks during the...
Sponsored by

Object Lessons - Why control of engineering design at the object level is essential for efficient project execution

Whatever the task, there is usually only one way to do it right and many more to do it wrong. In the c...
Sponsored by

Plant Design for Lean Construction - at your fingertips

One area which can provide improvements to the adoption of Lean principles is the application of mobil...
Sponsored by

How to Keep Your Mud System Vibrator Hose from Getting Hammered to Death

To prevent the vibrating hoses on your oilfield mud circulation systems from failing, you must examine...
Sponsored by

Duty of Care

Good corporate social responsibility means implementing effective workplace health and safety measures...
Sponsored by

Available Webcasts


On Demand

Optimizing your asset management practices to mitigate the effects of a down market

Thu, Dec 11, 2014

The oil and gas market is in constant flux, and as the price of BOE (Barrel of Oil Equivalent) goes down it is increasingly important to optimize your asset management strategy to stay afloat.  Attend this webinar to learn how developing a solid asset management plan can help your company mitigate costs in any market.

register:WEBCAST


Parylene Conformal Coatings for the Oil & Gas Industry

Thu, Nov 20, 2014

In this concise 30-minute webinar, participants have an opportunity to learn more about how Parylene coatings are applied, their features, and the value they add to devices and components.

register:WEBCAST


Utilizing Predictive Analytics to Optimize Productivity in Oil & Gas Operations

Tue, Nov 18, 2014

Join IBM on Tuesday, November 18 @ 1pm CST to explore how Predictive Analytics can help your organization maximize productivity, operational performance & associated processes to drive enterprise wide productivity and profitability.

register:WEBCAST


US HYDROCARBON EXPORTS Part 3 — LNG

Fri, Nov 14, 2014

US LNG Exports, the third in a trilogy of webcasts focusing on the broad topic of US Hydrocarbon Exports.

A discussion of the problems and potential for the export of US-produced liquefied natural gas.

These and other topics will be discussed, with the latest thoughts on U.S. LNG export policy.

register:WEBCAST


Careers at TOTAL

Careers at TOTAL - Videos

More than 600 job openings are now online, watch videos and learn more!

 

Click Here to Watch

Other Oil & Gas Industry Jobs

Search More Job Listings >>
Stay Connected